2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 352 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$894/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$188
Net cashflow
$85/mo
Annual
$1,022/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.06%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (0.5% below list).
It's been on market 352 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#87 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lincoln County School District #1 (rural): math 63% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #4 of 41 in WY (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Kemmerer Junior Senior High School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade C+, #11 of 75 statewide, top 18%, 264 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 220 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 352 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J7BFX8741K02AJ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29