811 N 5th Ave

Munday, TX 76371

$38,799B

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Built 1930 · SingleFamily · Pending · 217 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,099/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$203
• Tax + insurance: −$68
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$231
• Net cashflow: $597/mo
• Annual: $7,162/yr
• Cap rate: 24.75%
• Cash-on-cash: 65.92%
• DSCR: 3.93
• 1% rule: 2.83%
• Cash to close: $10,864

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
• It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $664 of equity ($268 loan paydown + $396 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#626 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Munday CISD (rural): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #326 of 826 in TX (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Munday El (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #621 of 4,322 statewide, top 15%, 216 students, 58% FRL); Munday Secondary (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 193 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.
• Knox County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.