4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,556 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,605/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$469
Tax + insurance
−$55
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$744/mo
Annual
$8,928/yr
Cap rate
16.27%
Cash-on-cash
35.62%
DSCR
2.59
1% rule
1.79%
Cash to close
$25,060
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $744 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#295 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Blount County (rural): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #54 of 129 in AL (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Susan Moore Elementary School (math 17% / reading 40%, grade F, #382 of 627 statewide, top 61%, 634 students, 76% FRL); Susan Moore High School (math 6% / reading 29%, grade F, #189 of 305 statewide, top 62%, 481 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 46% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Blount County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29