144 Thomas Rd · Snead, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to own this 4 bedroom 3 bath home home tucked away on a dead end road. This home has a large kitchen opening up to a dining area, large master bedroom with bathroom and more! MUST SEE!
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1977
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; One carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet service availability
- Home design: Existing construction; Siding - wood exterior; Crawl space foundation; Tri-level and split-level not applicable (single-level rooms listed)
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.5 acre lot; No waterfront; No pool; No patio, decks, or garden/patio indicated
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Multiple additional bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; At least one shared bath
- Heating & cooling: No central heating reported; Central cooling
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; One wood-burning fireplace with insert in the living room; Ceilings: other (see remarks)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $744 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#295 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Blount County (rural): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #54 of 129 in AL (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Susan Moore Elementary School (math 17% / reading 40%, grade F, #382 of 627 statewide, top 61%, 634 students, 76% FRL); Susan Moore High School (math 6% / reading 29%, grade F, #189 of 305 statewide, top 62%, 481 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 46% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Blount County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.62%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $506,318
- List price
- $89,500
- Delta
- -82.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $96,094
- Equity at exit
- $80,629
- IRR
- 45.2%
- Equity multiple
- 10.80×
- Total profit
- $245,652
- Equity at exit
- $173,879
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35952
- Home prices YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,605 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $212/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $744
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$89,500 Active 144-char remark
-
2021-12-29soldstatus $78,500
-
2021-10-22soldstatus $78,500 Sold 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Great opportunity to own this 4 bedroom 3 bath home home tucked away on a dead end road. This home has a large kitchen opening up to a dining area, large master bedroom with bathroom and more! MUST SEE!
-
2021-06-29status Pending 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Great opportunity to own this 4 bedroom 3 bath home home tucked away on a dead end road. This home has a large kitchen opening up to a dining area, large master bedroom with bathroom and more! MUST SEE!
-
2021-05-05$78,500 Active 202-char remark
Show marketing remark (202 chars)
Great opportunity to own this 4 bedroom 3 bath home home tucked away on a dead end road. This home has a large kitchen opening up to a dining area, large master bedroom with bathroom and more! MUST SEE!
-
2021-01-18status Active
-
2020-12-29historical Contingent
-
2020-09-04price $78,500
-
2020-07-14$83,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $212 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $367 · $31/mo
- Expected delta
- +$155/yr (+$13/mo · 73.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,265
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$212
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,541
- − Management
- −$1,541
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $7,906
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,897
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,030/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blount County
- NCES district ID
- 0100420
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,961
- Composite
- 27.79/100
- National rank
- #6891
- State rank
- #54 of 129 in AL
Livability — Snead
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #295
- US rank
- #18981
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,901
Population outlook (Blount County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,983 people
- By 2030
- 57,405 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 55,602 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 53,393 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 48,248 · -16.8%
- By 2100
- 44,190 · -23.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Blount
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+81.0) · D 9.2% · R 90.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.5pp toward R · 2008: -69.5pp · 2024: -81.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+81.0 2020: R+80.0 2016: R+81.4 2012: R+74.1 2008: R+69.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.05%
- Current HPI
- 249.8629
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+7.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $89,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
- 2021-10-22 Sold (MLS) $78,500 VMLS
- 2021-06-29 Pending — VMLS
- 2021-05-05 Listed $78,500 VMLS
- 2021-01-18 Relisted — VMLS
- 2020-12-29 Contingent — VMLS
- 2020-09-04 Price Changed $78,500 VMLS
- 2020-07-14 Listed $83,000 VMLS
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $212 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…