6 bd · 5.0 ba ·
4,780 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,901
Tax + insurance
−$2,193
HOA
−$55
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,499
Net cashflow
$252/mo
Annual
$3,026/yr
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.82%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$368,450
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/5.0-bath single-family listed at $1.32M. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.19M (9.6% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $1.19M (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $95k of equity ($9k loan paydown + $86k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#2 in TN, #2,317 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, cost of living F.
Williamson County (rural): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 139 in TN (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Sunset Elementary School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #60 of 952 statewide, top 7%, 623 students, 0% FRL); Fred J Page High School (math 17% / reading 69%, grade F, #20 of 332 statewide, top 6%, 1,284 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,994 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (637 in 5+ unit buildings).
Williamson County population projected at +59% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $368k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$152k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.2% in Nolensville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Blueprints show a brick exterior, but the actual exterior is not visible in the photos.
Major: interior walls
— Blueprints show interior wall designs, but the actual interior walls are not visible in the photos.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— Blueprints show HVAC and mechanical systems, but the actual systems are not visible in the photos.
Major: landscaping
— Blueprints show landscaping plans, but the actual landscaping is not visible in the photos.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J92EXPD6HR95AN
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29