4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,816 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Timeshare
· Active
· 565 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,901/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$598
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,029
Net cashflow
$1,391/mo
Annual
$16,687/yr
Cap rate
10.94%
Cash-on-cash
16.60%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath timeshare listed at $359k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $359k).
It's been on market 565 days — a 12% lower offer ($316k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $316k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#697 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Tahoe-Truckee Unified (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #136 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Truckee Elementary (math 33% / reading 45%, grade F, #656 of 1,571 statewide, top 42%, 451 students, 52% FRL); Alder Creek Middle (math 41% / reading 54%, grade C-, #113 of 498 statewide, top 23%, 538 students, 26% FRL); Tahoe Truckee High (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #256 of 1,170 statewide, top 24%, 890 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 381 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).
Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.0% in Truckee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($132k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 565 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J9N7BR5ZDGYVTG
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29