12376 Maple Ridge Rd

Medina, NY 14103

$216,900B

5 bd · 3.5 ba · 2,860 sqft · Built 1880 · MultiFamily · Pending · 8 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,030/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,137
• Tax + insurance: −$580
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$636
• Net cashflow: $676/mo
• Annual: $8,110/yr
• Cap rate: 10.03%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.35%
• DSCR: 1.59
• 1% rule: 1.40%
• Cash to close: $60,732

Investor read

• This is a 1×3.0bd/2.5ba + 1×2.0bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $217k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $338/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $217k).
• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $927 of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-573 appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#344 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
• Medina Central School District (town): math 37% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #548 of 590 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Orleans County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Orleans County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $75k; list at $217k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $61k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.9% in Medina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.