3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,644 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,873/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$318
HOA
−$17
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$393
Net cashflow
$-192/mo
Annual
$-2,310/yr
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.24%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-192 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (13.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (26.5% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($247k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#351 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Franklin Community School Corporation (suburban): math 36% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #133 of 301 in IN (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 282 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,133 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.0% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JAW1A61S48M7W4
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29