3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,380 sqft ·
Built 1860
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,203/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$249
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$130/mo
Annual
$1,557/yr
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.10%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#849 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
Madrid-Waddington Central School District (rural): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #332 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $9k; list at $109k implies a 1111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JC045S1E18C1G3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29