2265 State Highway 310 · Madrid, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step back in time without sacrificing modern comfort in this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath historic farmhouse, situated on a level 0.50-acre lot within the sought-after Madrid-Waddington School District. Built in 1856, this "Old Style" home preserves its 19th-century soul, showcasing stunning exposed hand hewn ceiling beams that anchor the main living areas with rustic character. The interior features a thoughtfully updated eat-in kitchen complete with a stylish tile backsplash and full appliances, a convenient first-floor bedroom and bathroom, and two additional cozy bedrooms nestled under the classic gabled roofline of the second floor. Modern upgrades including a wrap-around por
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Historic farmhouse
- Wrap-around porch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular lot (approx. 0.5 acres, dimensions 119 x 183); Frontage on a main thoroughfare
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 main level bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating
- Interior features: Country kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#849 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Madrid-Waddington Central School District (rural): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #332 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $109k implies a 1111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.10%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,767
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -40.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3678 County Route 14 | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-6%) | 9mo | $164,540 | $127 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $33,435
- Equity at exit
- $61,758
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $94,072
- Equity at exit
- $106,578
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13660
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,203 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,443/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $130
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $109,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$119,000 Active 1217-char remark
-
2001-07-27soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,443 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,443 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,436
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$2,443
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,155
- − Management
- −$1,155
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$139
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$33
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,590/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madrid-Waddington Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618090
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,008
- Composite
- 45.35/100
- National rank
- #2635
- State rank
- #332 of 590 in NY
Livability — Madrid
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #849
- US rank
- #16443
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madrid, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,953
Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,027 people
- By 2030
- 107,455 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 100,492 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 94,254 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 80,175 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 63,140 · -42.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14% Slovak 5% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.00%
- Current HPI
- 291.1384
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+1111.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $109,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $119,000 WNYREIS
- 2001-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,443 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…