3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,450 sqft ·
Built 1938
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,379/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$244
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$216/mo
Annual
$2,589/yr
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.71%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.8% in Moss Point — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JD8BTJ5172B89T
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29