4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,400 sqft ·
Built 1992
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,331/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$775
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$490
Net cashflow
$-297/mo
Annual
$-3,566/yr
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.90%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-297 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (20.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (10.3% below list).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#360 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
La Porte ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #260 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lomax El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 514 students, 53% FRL); Lomax J H (math 30% / reading 41%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 575 students, 57% FRL); La Porte H S (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #954 of 1,632 statewide, top 59%, 2,069 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $93k; list at $260k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.4% in La Porte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JDH6RG9NJX42E1
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29