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303 Cypress Ln
D Composite 41.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

303 Cypress Ln · La Porte, TX 77571
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,400 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
Built 1992 6,534 sqft lot $108/sqft · 27% below area Est $354k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

*BANK APPROVED PRICE* Welcome home to this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in an established neighborhood in La Porte. This spacious property features a large primary suite, comfortable living area, and a well-appointed kitchen with ample counter space and stainless steel appliances. Enjoy outdoor living in the fenced backyard with patio space—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A backyard shed with electricity and lighting offers excellent storage or workshop potential. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and local amenities, this home provides both comfort and functionality.

Key facts

  • Backyard shed
  • Fenced backyard
  • Patio space

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDPATIO SPACEBACKYARD SHEDSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-297 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (20.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (10.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.4% in La Porte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#360 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • La Porte ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #260 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lomax El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 514 students, 53% FRL); Lomax J H (math 30% / reading 41%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 575 students, 57% FRL); La Porte H S (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #954 of 1,632 statewide, top 59%, 2,069 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $93k; list at $260k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $207,498 (20.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.90%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$354,229
List price
$260,000
Delta
-26.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1002 Robinson Rd 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,471 (+3%) 7mo $399,000 $161 61
1205 Bayou Glen Dr 0.11mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,750 (+15%) 6mo $399,000 $145 57
10618 Deaf Smith St 0.57mi 4/2.5 2,406 (+0%) 23mo $360,000 $150 54
908 Robinson Rd 0.51mi 4/2.0 2,352 (-2%) 23mo $385,000 $164 52
1110 Robinson Rd 0.44mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,089 (-13%) 4mo $715,000 $342 49
10135 N P St 0.24mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,151 (-10%) 22mo $130,000 $60 48
10733 San Jacinto Dr 0.61mi 4/2.0 2,200 (-8%) 21mo $325,000 $148 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.7%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-61,259
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-20.8%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-78,539
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77571

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
340
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,331 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$667 /mo · $8,004/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$-297

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,707
Max offer price $207,498
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-150 -5% $-224 +0% $-297 +5% $-371 +10% $-444
Rent -10% $-481 -5% $-389 +0% $-297 +5% $-205 +10% $-113
Rate -1.0pp $-166 -0.5pp $-231 base $-297 +0.5pp $-365 +1.0pp $-433

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
809 Willow Creek Dr La Porte, TX 4.0 2.0 1962 $2,100 $1.07 45d 1 1.26mi
5222 Valley View Dr La Porte, TX 3.0 2.0 1739 $1,970 $1.13 45d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $260,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $260,000 Active 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $260,000 Active 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $260,000 Active 95 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $260,000 Active 93 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $260,000 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $260,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $275,000 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-05-19
    price $275,000 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    *BANK APPROVED PRICE* Welcome home to this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in an established neighborhood in La Porte. This spacious property features a large primary suite, comfortable living area, and a well-appointed kitchen with ample counter space and stainless steel appliances. Enjoy outdoor living in the fenced backyard with patio space—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A backyard shed with electricity and lighting offers excellent storage or workshop potential. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and local amenities, this home provides both comfort and functionality.

  16. 2026-04-22
    price $284,000 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    *BANK APPROVED PRICE* Welcome home to this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in an established neighborhood in La Porte. This spacious property features a large primary suite, comfortable living area, and a well-appointed kitchen with ample counter space and stainless steel appliances. Enjoy outdoor living in the fenced backyard with patio space—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A backyard shed with electricity and lighting offers excellent storage or workshop potential. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and local amenities, this home provides both comfort and functionality.

  17. 2026-03-12
    listed $300,000 Active 598-char remark
    Show marketing remark (598 chars)

    *BANK APPROVED PRICE* Welcome home to this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in an established neighborhood in La Porte. This spacious property features a large primary suite, comfortable living area, and a well-appointed kitchen with ample counter space and stainless steel appliances. Enjoy outdoor living in the fenced backyard with patio space—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A backyard shed with electricity and lighting offers excellent storage or workshop potential. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and local amenities, this home provides both comfort and functionality.

  18. 2023-04-26
    soldstatus
  19. 2023-04-24
    soldstatus Sold 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    Beautiful home in La Porte. It has four bedrooms, two and 1/2 bathrooms, as well as an attached two-car garage. It comes along with a spacious primary bedroom and living area, a modern kitchen with plenty of counter space, and new appliances— a fenced backyard and patio. The shed in the backyard comes with power and lights. Zooned in Lomas School District and less than . 5 miles from Northwest Park, which includes pool access in summer months.

  20. 2023-03-23
    status Pending 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    Beautiful home in La Porte. It has four bedrooms, two and 1/2 bathrooms, as well as an attached two-car garage. It comes along with a spacious primary bedroom and living area, a modern kitchen with plenty of counter space, and new appliances— a fenced backyard and patio. The shed in the backyard comes with power and lights. Zooned in Lomas School District and less than . 5 miles from Northwest Park, which includes pool access in summer months.

  21. 2023-03-10
    listed $319,900 Active 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    Beautiful home in La Porte. It has four bedrooms, two and 1/2 bathrooms, as well as an attached two-car garage. It comes along with a spacious primary bedroom and living area, a modern kitchen with plenty of counter space, and new appliances— a fenced backyard and patio. The shed in the backyard comes with power and lights. Zooned in Lomas School District and less than . 5 miles from Northwest Park, which includes pool access in summer months.

  22. 2021-04-26
    soldstatus
  23. 2017-02-14
    soldstatus
  24. 2017-02-10
    soldstatus Sold
  25. 2017-01-23
    status Pending
  26. 2017-01-21
    status Option Pending
  27. 2017-01-04
    status Active
  28. 2016-11-29
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  29. 2016-11-18
    status Option Pending
  30. 2016-11-11
    listed $217,000 Active
  31. 2005-08-18
    soldstatus
  32. 2005-08-18
    soldstatus
  33. 1999-03-25
    soldstatus
  34. 1999-03-01
    soldstatus $93,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,004 · $667/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,004 · $667/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,973
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$8,004
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,238
− Management
−$2,238
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$7,934
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,904
After-tax cash flow
$-1,662/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Porte ISD
NCES district ID
4826190
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,841
Composite
38.65/100
National rank
#4151
State rank
#260 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Porte

Score
70/100
State rank
#360
US rank
#7754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
La Porte, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
38,543
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
38,543
Household income
$81,850
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1176.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.81%
Current HPI
255.0768
Rent YoY
▲ 2.81%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+195.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $275,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $284,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $300,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-04-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2023-04-24 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2023-03-23 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-03-10 Listed $319,900 HARMLS
  • 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-02-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-02-10 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2017-01-23 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-01-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2017-01-04 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2016-11-29 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-11-18 Pending HARMLS
  • 2016-11-11 Listed $217,000 HARMLS
  • 2005-08-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-08-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-03-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,004 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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