303 Cypress Ln · La Porte, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
*BANK APPROVED PRICE* Welcome home to this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in an established neighborhood in La Porte. This spacious property features a large primary suite, comfortable living area, and a well-appointed kitchen with ample counter space and stainless steel appliances. Enjoy outdoor living in the fenced backyard with patio space—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A backyard shed with electricity and lighting offers excellent storage or workshop potential. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and local amenities, this home provides both comfort and functionality.
Key facts
- Backyard shed
- Fenced backyard
- Patio space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-297 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (20.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.4% in La Porte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#360 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- La Porte ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #260 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lomax El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 514 students, 53% FRL); Lomax J H (math 30% / reading 41%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 575 students, 57% FRL); La Porte H S (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #954 of 1,632 statewide, top 59%, 2,069 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $93k; list at $260k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.90%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $354,229
- List price
- $260,000
- Delta
- -26.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1002 Robinson Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,471 (+3%) | 7mo | $399,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 1205 Bayou Glen Dr | 0.11mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,750 (+15%) | 6mo | $399,000 | $145 | 57 |
| 10618 Deaf Smith St | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,406 (+0%) | 23mo | $360,000 | $150 | 54 |
| 908 Robinson Rd | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 2,352 (-2%) | 23mo | $385,000 | $164 | 52 |
| 1110 Robinson Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,089 (-13%) | 4mo | $715,000 | $342 | 49 |
| 10135 N P St | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,151 (-10%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $60 | 48 |
| 10733 San Jacinto Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 2,200 (-8%) | 21mo | $325,000 | $148 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-61,259
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-78,539
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77571
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,331 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$667 /mo · $8,004/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $-297
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-150 | -5% $-224 | +0% $-297 | +5% $-371 | +10% $-444 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-481 | -5% $-389 | +0% $-297 | +5% $-205 | +10% $-113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-166 | -0.5pp $-231 | base $-297 | +0.5pp $-365 | +1.0pp $-433 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809 Willow Creek Dr La Porte, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1962 | $2,100 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5222 Valley View Dr La Porte, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1739 | $1,970 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $260,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $260,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $260,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $260,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $260,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $260,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $275,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $275,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $275,000 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
*BANK APPROVED PRICE* Welcome home to this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in an established neighborhood in La Porte. This spacious property features a large primary suite, comfortable living area, and a well-appointed kitchen with ample counter space and stainless steel appliances. Enjoy outdoor living in the fenced backyard with patio space—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A backyard shed with electricity and lighting offers excellent storage or workshop potential. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and local amenities, this home provides both comfort and functionality.
-
2026-04-22price $284,000 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
*BANK APPROVED PRICE* Welcome home to this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in an established neighborhood in La Porte. This spacious property features a large primary suite, comfortable living area, and a well-appointed kitchen with ample counter space and stainless steel appliances. Enjoy outdoor living in the fenced backyard with patio space—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A backyard shed with electricity and lighting offers excellent storage or workshop potential. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and local amenities, this home provides both comfort and functionality.
-
2026-03-12$300,000 Active 598-char remark
Show marketing remark (598 chars)
*BANK APPROVED PRICE* Welcome home to this 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home located in an established neighborhood in La Porte. This spacious property features a large primary suite, comfortable living area, and a well-appointed kitchen with ample counter space and stainless steel appliances. Enjoy outdoor living in the fenced backyard with patio space—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A backyard shed with electricity and lighting offers excellent storage or workshop potential. Conveniently located near parks, schools, and local amenities, this home provides both comfort and functionality.
-
2023-04-26soldstatus
-
2023-04-24soldstatus Sold 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Beautiful home in La Porte. It has four bedrooms, two and 1/2 bathrooms, as well as an attached two-car garage. It comes along with a spacious primary bedroom and living area, a modern kitchen with plenty of counter space, and new appliances— a fenced backyard and patio. The shed in the backyard comes with power and lights. Zooned in Lomas School District and less than . 5 miles from Northwest Park, which includes pool access in summer months.
-
2023-03-23status Pending 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Beautiful home in La Porte. It has four bedrooms, two and 1/2 bathrooms, as well as an attached two-car garage. It comes along with a spacious primary bedroom and living area, a modern kitchen with plenty of counter space, and new appliances— a fenced backyard and patio. The shed in the backyard comes with power and lights. Zooned in Lomas School District and less than . 5 miles from Northwest Park, which includes pool access in summer months.
-
2023-03-10$319,900 Active 455-char remark
Show marketing remark (455 chars)
Beautiful home in La Porte. It has four bedrooms, two and 1/2 bathrooms, as well as an attached two-car garage. It comes along with a spacious primary bedroom and living area, a modern kitchen with plenty of counter space, and new appliances— a fenced backyard and patio. The shed in the backyard comes with power and lights. Zooned in Lomas School District and less than . 5 miles from Northwest Park, which includes pool access in summer months.
-
2021-04-26soldstatus
-
2017-02-14soldstatus
-
2017-02-10soldstatus Sold
-
2017-01-23status Pending
-
2017-01-21status Option Pending
-
2017-01-04status Active
-
2016-11-29status Pending, Continue to Show
-
2016-11-18status Option Pending
-
2016-11-11$217,000 Active
-
2005-08-18soldstatus
-
2005-08-18soldstatus
-
1999-03-25soldstatus
-
1999-03-01soldstatus $93,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,004 · $667/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,004 · $667/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$8,004
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,238
- − Management
- −$2,238
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$7,934
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,904
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,662/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Porte ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826190
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 38.65/100
- National rank
- #4151
- State rank
- #260 of 826 in TX
Livability — La Porte
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #7754
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Porte, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 38,543
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,543
- Household income
- $81,850
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1176.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.81%
- Current HPI
- 255.0768
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.81%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+195.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $275,000 HARMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $284,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $300,000 HARMLS
- 2023-04-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-04-24 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2023-03-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2023-03-10 Listed $319,900 HARMLS
- 2021-04-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-02-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-02-10 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2017-01-23 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-01-21 Pending — HARMLS
- 2017-01-04 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2016-11-29 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-11-18 Pending — HARMLS
- 2016-11-11 Listed $217,000 HARMLS
- 2005-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-03-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $8,004 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…