12 bd · 9.0 ba ·
0 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,308/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,516
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,115
Net cashflow
$2,369/mo
Annual
$28,431/yr
Cap rate
16.13%
Cash-on-cash
35.14%
DSCR
2.56
1% rule
1.84%
Cash to close
$80,920
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $289k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $790/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $289k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $285k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#8 in ID, #904 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
Blackfoot District (town): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #69 of 92 in ID (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mountain View Middle School (math 33% / reading 46%, grade F, #72 of 109 statewide, top 67%, 588 students, 47% FRL); Blackfoot High School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #105 of 169 statewide, top 63%, 1,286 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 282 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 251 units permitted in Bingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bingham County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $5,308/mo this rent would consume 85% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 286% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JDHFA5BT1B2MDS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29