2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 2017
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$848/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$724
Tax + insurance
−$230
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$-284/mo
Annual
$-3,406/yr
Cap rate
3.83%
Cash-on-cash
-8.81%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$38,640
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-284 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (29.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (38.6% below list).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (38.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($954 loan paydown + $725 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,123 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime D-.
Elverado CUSD 196 (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #418 of 919 in IL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
CashFlowRE · CFR-JDWRR0E83TT4PW
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29