2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1943
· Manufactured
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,098/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$550
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$226/mo
Annual
$2,715/yr
Cap rate
8.88%
Cash-on-cash
9.24%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$29,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($725 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Lawrence County (rural): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #67 of 139 in TN (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Leoma Elementary (math 26% / reading 23%, grade F, #546 of 952 statewide, top 61%, 538 students, 0% FRL); Lawrence Co High School (math 26% / reading 23%, grade F, #129 of 332 statewide, top 43%, 1,143 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $105k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JDXJJ491D0XC5F
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29