110 Shannon Rd · Leoma, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 bedroom 1 bath home, on . 58 acre lot, in quiet country setting. Home is being sold AS-IS. Cash or conventional loan only.
Key facts
- 0.58 acre lot
- Built 1943
- Listed 63 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No covered spaces; No dedicated parking listed
- Utilities: Water: Other; Sewer: Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.58-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: Other); Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Lawrence County (rural): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #67 of 139 in TN (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Leoma Elementary (math 26% / reading 23%, grade F, #546 of 952 statewide, top 61%, 538 students, 0% FRL); Lawrence Co High School (math 26% / reading 23%, grade F, #129 of 332 statewide, top 43%, 1,143 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($725 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lawrence County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $105k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.24%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $71,505
- Equity at exit
- $94,502
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.78×
- Total profit
- $199,170
- Equity at exit
- $203,798
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38468
- Home prices YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,098 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $567/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $226
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18price $104,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $114,900
-
2026-04-16$119,900 Active
-
2018-12-28soldstatus $45,000
-
2001-03-16soldstatus $38,000
-
2001-03-16soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $567 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $745 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$178/yr (+$15/mo · 31.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,174
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$567
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,054
- − Management
- −$1,054
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $1,047
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$251
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawrence County
- NCES district ID
- 4702340
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,613
- Composite
- 24.2/100
- National rank
- #7729
- State rank
- #67 of 139 in TN
Livability — Leoma
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,442
Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,724 people
- By 2030
- 42,627 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 42,144 · -1.4%
- By 2050
- 40,800 · -4.5%
- By 2075
- 36,643 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 29,193 · -31.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.1) · D 15.1% · R 84.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.3pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -69.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.1 2020: R+64.8 2016: R+61.3 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.65%
- Current HPI
- 337.0314
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+202.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $114,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listed $119,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2001-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2001-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $567 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…