12 bd · 4.0 ba ·
5,605 sqft ·
Built 1926
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,139/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,409
Tax + insurance
−$1,256
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,339
Net cashflow
$4,135/mo
Annual
$49,626/yr
Cap rate
13.93%
Cash-on-cash
27.27%
DSCR
2.21
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$182,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $650k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($50k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $650k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($592k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $592k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Farnsworth Aerospace Lower (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #813 of 857 statewide, top 97%, 425 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 64% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the St. Paul Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $410k; list at $650k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $11,139/mo this rent would consume 190% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 2046% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JEJNDEBFH27YWC
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29