8 bd · 7.0 ba ·
2,830 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 268 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,264/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$467
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$685
Net cashflow
$644/mo
Annual
$7,723/yr
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.85%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$78,400
Investor read
This is a 1×4bd/2.0ba + 1×3bd/2.0ba units multifamily listed at $280k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $644 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $322/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
It's been on market 268 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,027 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D-.
Sherman ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #546 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 479 active listings in the ZIP; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.7% in Sherman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,264/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 840% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 268 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JEVRG997Y8RNRJ
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29