3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,045 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,653/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$414
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$557
Net cashflow
$-22/mo
Annual
$-269/yr
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.30%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-269/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $321k (1.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (18.4% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $265k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#311 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, crime D, amenities F.
Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Flintstone Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #766 of 860 statewide, top 93%, 384 students, 88% FRL); Oxon Hill Middle (math 4% / reading 22%, grade F, #199 of 225 statewide, top 88%, 767 students, 82% FRL); Oxon Hill High (math 43% / reading 68%, grade C, #85 of 222 statewide, top 39%, 1,553 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 53% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $17k; list at $325k implies a 1812% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Oxon Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29