2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
906 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Condo
· Active
· 275 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,150/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,599
Tax + insurance
−$575
HOA
−$650
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$661
Net cashflow
$-336/mo
Annual
$-4,033/yr
Cap rate
5.23%
Cash-on-cash
-3.79%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$85,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $305k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-336 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (15.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $305k).
It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#474 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Coronado Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #288 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 223 students, 36% FRL); New Smyrna Beach Middle School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,037 students, 53% FRL); New Smyrna Beach High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 1,810 students, 41% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 582 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.8% in New Smyrna Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($111k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Painting
— The exterior walls and interior walls appear to be in good condition with no visible damage or wear.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JFQQYC033N5TD7
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29