4860 S Atlantic Ave #201 · New Smyrna Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.5/30.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Where else can you have the ocean at your front door and a fishing dock at your back door. Ocean access is across the street. Dock belonging to property in on the Intracoastal waterway system , beautifully kept 2 bedroom 2 bath furnished condo can be used as your homestead, your vacation home or your rental property. (minimum 1 month) There is also a walking trail and yet only a few minutes to restaurants and shopping. Launch you Kayak or paddle board off the dock. And there is a private storage room to store them in.
Key facts
- Fishing dock
- Private storage room
- Walking trail
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $305k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-336 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (15.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $305k).
- Recommended offer: $256k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.8% in New Smyrna Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#474 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Coronado Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A-, #288 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 223 students, 36% FRL); New Smyrna Beach Middle School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,037 students, 53% FRL); New Smyrna Beach High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 1,810 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 582 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($111k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.79%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $425,000
- List price
- $305,000
- Delta
- -28.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4831 Saxon Dr #1040 | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 950 (+5%) | 0mo | $505,000 | $532 | 83 |
| 4405 Sea Mist Dr #218 | 1.42mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 891 (-2%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $264 | 53 |
| 4151 S Atlantic Ave #511 | 2.12mi | 2/2.0 | 977 (+8%) | 0mo | $475,000 | $486 | 52 |
| 4313 Sea Mist Dr #260 | 1.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,028 (+14%) | 0mo | $415,000 | $404 | 42 |
| 4283 Sea Mist Dr #4283 | 1.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,122 (+24%) | 0mo | $425,000 | $379 | 40 |
| 4175 S Atlantic Ave #509 | 1.93mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 766 (-16%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $405 | 31 |
| 4175 S Atlantic Ave #5270 | 1.96mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 766 (-16%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $496 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-63,318
- Equity at exit
- $45,476
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-50,583
- Equity at exit
- $26,371
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $383,450 ($380/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 279 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +23.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32169
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 582
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$381 /mo · $4,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$650
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$661
- Net cashflow
- $-336
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-125 | -5% $-231 | +0% $-336 | +5% $-442 | +10% $-547 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-585 | -5% $-461 | +0% $-336 | +5% $-212 | +10% $-87 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-183 | -0.5pp $-259 | base $-336 | +0.5pp $-415 | +1.0pp $-496 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4860 S Atlantic Ave #1030 New Smyrna Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 906 | $1,850 | $2.04 | 63d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 4849 Saxon Dr New Smyrna Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 863 | $4,950 | $5.74 | 72d | 4 | 0.11mi |
| 4811 Saxon Dr Unit 602 New Smyrna Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $3,500 | $3.41 | 16d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4501 S Atlantic Ave #513 New Smyrna Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $3,000 | $3.23 | 41d | 1 | 1.18mi |
HOA detail $650/mo · $7,800/yr condo
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $305,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $305,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $305,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $305,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $305,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $305,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $305,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $305,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $305,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $305,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $305,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $305,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $305,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $305,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $305,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $305,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $305,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $305,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $305,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $305,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $305,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $305,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $305,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $305,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $305,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $305,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $305,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $305,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $305,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $305,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $305,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $305,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $305,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $305,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $305,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $305,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $305,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $305,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $305,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $305,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $305,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $305,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $305,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $305,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $305,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $305,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $305,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $305,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $305,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $305,000 Active 206 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$4,575
- − Insurance
- −$2,322
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,024
- − Management
- −$3,024
- − HOA
- −$7,800
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$8,908
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,138
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,896/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property is in good condition with no major repairs needed. Painting the exterior and interior walls and landscaping can significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Painting — The exterior walls and interior walls appear to be in good condition with no visible damage or wear.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Painting can improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, which can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the curb appeal and exterior aesthetics, which can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Volusia
- NCES district ID
- 1201920
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,946
- Composite
- 39.2/100
- National rank
- #4019
- State rank
- #47 of 73 in FL
Livability — New Smyrna Beach
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #474
- US rank
- #8577
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Volusia County · 572,749 people
- City population
- 42,039
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,192
- Household income
- $110,968
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 572,749 people
- By 2030
- 598,695 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 644,880 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 681,451 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 759,957 · +32.7%
- By 2100
- 778,902 · +36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Volusia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -297.06%
- Current HPI
- 345.3555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.17%
- Metro
- Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+69.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-06 Listed $305,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-05 Rental Removed $2,000 Avail
- 2025-10-22 Listed for Rent $2,000 Avail
- 2025-08-25 Rental Removed $2,000 Avail
- 2025-07-24 Listed for Rent $2,000 Avail
- 2025-07-13 Rental Removed $2,000 Avail
- 2025-06-11 Listed for Rent $2,000 Avail
- 2025-05-27 Rental Removed $1,900 Avail
- 2025-04-25 Listed for Rent $1,900 Avail
- 2024-06-20 Rental Removed $1,900 Avail
- 2024-05-07 Listed for Rent $1,900 Avail
- 2024-04-13 Rental Removed $2,000 Avail
- 2024-04-02 Price Changed $2,000 Avail
- 2024-02-08 Listed for Rent $2,250 Avail
- 2018-01-25 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-01-25 Delisted — NSBMLS
- 2017-05-10 Listed — NSBMLS
- 2017-05-10 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…