8 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,984 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 205 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,738/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$812
Tax + insurance
−$318
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$785
Net cashflow
$1,822/mo
Annual
$21,867/yr
Cap rate
20.41%
Cash-on-cash
50.42%
DSCR
3.24
1% rule
2.41%
Cash to close
$43,372
Investor read
This is a 1×1bd/1.0ba + 2×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $155k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $607/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $155k).
It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment D-.
Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: William H Seward Elementary School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 485 students, 52% FRL); Auburn Junior High School (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #661 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 598 students, 81% FRL); Auburn High School (math 88% / reading 84%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,183 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Auburn City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 296 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $108k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 6.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Some minor wear and tear, but still functional.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Dated and could benefit from replacement or updating.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Signs of wear and discoloration, may need repainting or replacement.
Moderate: Interior walls
— Discoloration and wear, may need repainting.
Moderate: Windows
— May need new hardware or sealing, as some appear loose.
Moderate: Landscaping
— Overgrown and could benefit from trimming and maintenance.
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