Triplex
🌊 Lakefront
112 Osborne St · Auburn, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Presenting a well-maintained three-family property offering strong rental performance and versatility for both investors and owner-occupants alike. The building features a 1-bedroom, 2-bedroom and a 3-bedroom, each with separate utilities, ensuring easy management and cleaner operating expenses. This home is situated on the Owasco Outlet affording the opportunity for canoeing, kayaking, fishing and swimming. Current annual net operating income stands at $19,837, providing an attractive turnkey investment opportunity with room for future upside through market rent adjustments or continued portfolio scaling. A smart and stable addition to any investor’s holdings—modernized interiors, strong rental performance, and a configuration that appeals to today’s tenants make this one a standout. This home may be purchased in a bundle deal along with 73 Arterial West, MLS #S1657399, offering a combined yearly NOI of $37,140 at a reduced price of $338,900.
Key facts
- Separate utilities
- Modernized interiors
- 8,276 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×1bd/1.0ba + 2×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $155k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $607/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 6.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment D-.
- Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: William H Seward Elementary School (math 34% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,519 of 2,108 statewide, top 74%, 485 students, 52% FRL); Auburn Junior High School (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #661 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 598 students, 81% FRL); Auburn High School (math 88% / reading 84%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,183 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Auburn City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 296 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $108k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.42%
- DSCR
- 3.24
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,405
- List price
- $154,900
- Delta
- -28.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $91,051
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- 53.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.28×
- Total profit
- $229,109
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13021
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,738 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,047/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$785
- Net cashflow
- $1,822
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,204 |
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,534 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,267 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,267 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,738 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,910 | -5% $1,866 | +0% $1,822 | +5% $1,778 | +10% $1,735 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,527 | -5% $1,675 | +0% $1,822 | +5% $1,970 | +10% $2,118 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,900 | -0.5pp $1,862 | base $1,822 | +0.5pp $1,782 | +1.0pp $1,741 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Lake Ave Unit 1 Auburn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | $1,691 | — | 93d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 78 Chedell Pl Auburn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2096 | $1,100 | $0.52 | 93d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 173 E Genesee St Unit 171 Auburn, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $2,000 | $1.00 | 93d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 138 Standart Ave Auburn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | — | $1,882 | — | 70d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $154,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $154,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $154,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $154,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $154,900 Active 201 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $154,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-08-01price $154,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $169,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $169,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $169,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $169,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $169,900 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $169,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $169,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $169,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $169,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $169,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-17days on market $169,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $169,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $169,900 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $169,900 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $169,900 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $169,900 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $169,900 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $169,900 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $169,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-07-07pricedays on market $169,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $179,900 Active 172 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $179,900 Active 171 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $179,900 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $179,900 Active 169 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $179,900 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $179,900 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $179,900 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $179,900 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $179,900 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $179,900 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $179,900 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $179,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $179,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 140 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,047 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,047 · $254/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $44,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$3,047
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,588
- − Management
- −$3,588
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable income
- $20,674
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,962
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,905/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This three-family property requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. Painting, updating fixtures, and landscaping will significantly enhance its appeal to both buyers and renters.
Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — roof appears damaged and leaking
- Major Windows (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — windows appear old and possibly not sealed properly
- Major Electrical (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — electrical panel appears old and possibly not up to code
- Major Plumbing (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — plumbing fixtures appear old and possibly not up to code
- Major Exterior (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — exterior siding appears damaged and possibly not up to code
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Some minor wear and tear, but still functional.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated and could benefit from replacement or updating.
- Moderate Exterior siding — Signs of wear and discoloration, may need repainting or replacement.
- Moderate Interior walls — Discoloration and wear, may need repainting.
- Moderate Windows — May need new hardware or sealing, as some appear loose.
- Moderate Landscaping — Overgrown and could benefit from trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating the kitchen and bathrooms — Fresh paint and updated fixtures will improve both the resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — A well-maintained exterior will attract more potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603480
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,567
- Composite
- 29.71/100
- National rank
- #6452
- State rank
- #558 of 590 in NY
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #298
- US rank
- #4814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, NY
- County
- Cayuga County · 74,820 people
- City population
- 37,247
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,247
- Household income
- $60,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,820 people
- By 2030
- 72,402 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 66,917 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 61,007 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 48,047 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 34,512 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.53%
- Current HPI
- 338.5537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+414.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $179,900 CNYIS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $189,900 CNYIS
- 2010-12-30 Sold (MLS) $107,500 CNYIS
- 2010-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $107,500 Public Records
- 2010-09-08 Listed $119,500 CNYIS
- 2007-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 2007-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2004-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,047 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…