2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,214 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,288/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$31/mo
Annual
$375/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.90%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($375/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (13.6% below list).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Vanstory Hills Elementary (math 46% / reading 50%, grade D, #477 of 1,410 statewide, top 35%, 469 students, 99% FRL); R Max Abbott Middle (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #251 of 475 statewide, top 54%, 759 students, 99% FRL); Terry Sanford High (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #306 of 535 statewide, top 57%, 1,224 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 55% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $25k; list at $149k implies a 496% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JGX32748XPGAD0
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29