3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,408 sqft ·
Built 1992
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,170/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$65
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$440/mo
Annual
$5,276/yr
Cap rate
12.89%
Cash-on-cash
23.55%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $440 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Chesaning Union Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #153 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Big Rock Elementary School (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #382 of 1,397 statewide, top 30%, 417 students, 62% FRL); Chesaning Middle School (math 41% / reading 46%, grade D, #178 of 493 statewide, top 36%, 557 students, 55% FRL); Chesaning Union High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 405 students, 51% FRL).
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JHBRV25E4KBCHP
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29