2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
992 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 199 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$888/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$407
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$186
Net cashflow
$195/mo
Annual
$2,334/yr
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.73%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$21,756
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($888 rent vs $78k).
It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($537 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#945 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, employment B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Miami ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #479 of 1,141 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP.
Roberts County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JHWN1B76PEB9S3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29