3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,592 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,172/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$241
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$3/mo
Annual
$38/yr
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.10%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($38/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (9.9% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#97 in TX, #3,326 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Perryton ISD (town): math 53% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #186 of 826 in TX (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: James L Wright El (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 471 students, 67% FRL); Perryton J H (math 53% / reading 48%, grade C, #333 of 1,662 statewide, top 21%, 436 students, 58% FRL); Perryton H S (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 620 students, 56% FRL).
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Ochiltree County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ochiltree County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 56 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29