2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,020 sqft ·
Built 1957
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 218 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,037/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,814
Tax + insurance
−$1,712
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,898
Net cashflow
$-2,386/mo
Annual
$-28,633/yr
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.64%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$417,200
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.49M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-29k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-597/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.07M (28.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $904k (39.3% below list).
It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.31M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $904k (39.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#489 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fort Myers Beach Elementary School (math 84% / reading 74%, grade A, #116 of 2,144 statewide, top 6%, 80 students, 41% FRL); Lexington Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,138 students, 44% FRL); South Fort Myers High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,917 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 878 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $500k; list at $1.49M implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 0.2% in Fort Myers Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,037/mo this rent would consume 137% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 145% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29