3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,274 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,576/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,015
Tax + insurance
−$603
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$961
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-33/yr
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.02%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$161,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $575k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-33/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $575k (0.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $458k (20.4% below list).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($540k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $458k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Centennial Place Academy (Charter) (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 804 students, 100% FRL, charter); David T Howard Middle School (math 58% / reading 63%, grade B+, #39 of 470 statewide, top 8%, 1,119 students, 19% FRL); Midtown High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #151 of 424 statewide, top 36%, 1,602 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 71% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 722 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $315k; list at $575k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,576/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 4182% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JJCB3DDJR775EB
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29