None bd · 1.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,873/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$405
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,023
Net cashflow
$2,512/mo
Annual
$30,141/yr
Cap rate
28.62%
Cash-on-cash
79.74%
DSCR
4.55
1% rule
3.61%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a ?-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $135k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#2 in NJ, #139 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Fort Lee School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #105 of 472 in NJ (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Fort Lee High School (math 35% / reading 66%, grade D+, #101 of 399 statewide, top 26%, 1,160 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 202 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,488 units permitted in Bergen County in 2024 (1,610 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bergen County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 28.6% vs local median 1.5% in Fort Lee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,873/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 1963% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JMSWAABSZ6VTFP
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29