4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,223 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 143 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,013/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$636
HOA
−$40
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$423
Net cashflow
$-344/mo
Annual
$-4,125/yr
Cap rate
4.57%
Cash-on-cash
-6.14%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$67,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-344 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $179k (25.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (16.1% below list).
It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $179k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-4 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Southwest El (math 38% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,946 of 4,322 statewide, top 45%, 654 students, 73% FRL); Ronald E Mcnair Middle (math 27% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,103 of 1,662 statewide, top 67%, 748 students, 77% FRL); Southwest H S (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,152 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 555 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior siding
— Some discoloration visible.
Minor: landscaping
— Overgrown grass and weeds need trimming.
Minor: interior walls
— Painted walls need touch-up in some areas.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JN141X0CY6PS1W
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29