4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,368 sqft ·
Built 1988
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,769/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,989
Tax + insurance
−$552
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$791
Net cashflow
$-563/mo
Annual
$-6,761/yr
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.24%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$159,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $570k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-563 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $470k (17.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $377k (33.9% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $377k (33.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $61k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $57k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#183 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime D-, amenities F.
Webster (suburban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #286 of 302 in MA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$98k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.2% in Webster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,769/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 690% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JNKH405FFFWD40
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29