4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,014 sqft ·
Built 1942
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,021/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,230
Tax + insurance
−$589
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$634
Net cashflow
$568/mo
Annual
$6,814/yr
Cap rate
9.20%
Cash-on-cash
10.37%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$65,679
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in MD, #3,461 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D, cost of living F.
Howard County Public Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #1 of 24 in MD (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 881 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (285 in 5+ unit buildings).
Howard County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.4% in Ellicott City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JP74PAAM34W56F
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29