11755 Triadelphia Rd · Ellicott City, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$234,567
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
List Price is suggested starting bid at Public Auction. Affordable Housing in Howard County, MD. Remodeled Cape Cod located in country setting yet close to all amenities. 4 BR, possible 5 and 2 full bathrooms, Full basement for extra space with fireplace. Terms: $10,000 Deposit at conclusion of Auction. Property and Home sold As-Is, with no warranties expressed or implied. 30 day Settlement provided by Land Abstract & Escrow, Ellicott City, MD.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1942
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system sized to number of bedrooms; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Detached structure; Main entrance faces west
- Construction: Stick-built construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Shingle roof; Includes a storage barn/shed; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Backs to trees; Cleared lot; Level lot; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
- Basement: Improved basement
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Fully carpeted
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
- Fireplace: One wood-burning fireplace
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Window air conditioning units; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Plaster walls; Dining area; Carpeted surfaces throughout
- Laundry & utility: Washer and electric dryer (laundry in basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.4% in Ellicott City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in MD, #3,461 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D, cost of living F.
- Howard County Public Schools (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #1 of 24 in MD (top 4%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 881 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (285 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Howard County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.37%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $499,419
- List price
- $234,567
- Delta
- -53.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-4,121
- Equity at exit
- $34,975
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $33,798
- Equity at exit
- $20,281
Cash invested: $65,679 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21042
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,021 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,230
- Tax from tax record
- −$491 /mo · $5,891/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$634
- Net cashflow
- $568
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,642
- Closing costs
- $7,037
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 454-char remark
-
2026-04-30$234,567 Active 454-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,891 · $491/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,891 · $491/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,139
- − Property taxes
- −$5,891
- − Insurance
- −$1,173
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,900
- − Management
- −$2,900
- − Depreciation
- −$6,824
- Taxable income
- $3,424
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$822
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,992/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Howard County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400420
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $108,056
- Composite
- 41.23/100
- National rank
- #3535
- State rank
- #1 of 24 in MD
Livability — Ellicott City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #3461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Howard County · 282,651 people
- City population
- 91,852
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,327
- Household income
- $190,061
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 758.0
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 367,857 people
- By 2030
- 394,054 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 443,509 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 488,124 · +32.7%
- By 2075
- 594,860 · +61.7%
- By 2100
- 648,772 · +76.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Asian 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Chinese 6% Korean 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.8) · D 69.1% · R 27.4% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.9pp toward D · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: 41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.8 2020: D+44.3 2016: D+33.5 2012: D+21.2 2008: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -355.83%
- Current HPI
- 288.5787
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.19%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+71.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Sold (MLS) $401,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-04 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $234,567 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,891 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…