3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,169 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,434/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$833
HOA
−$85
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$721
Net cashflow
$-145/mo
Annual
$-1,740/yr
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.68%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$103,597
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $370k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-145 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $344k (6.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $343k (7.2% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $343k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#141 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Charles County Public Schools (suburban): math 13% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #14 of 24 in MD (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Dr. Gustavus Brown Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #699 of 860 statewide, top 84%, 413 students, 73% FRL); Milton M. Somers Middle School (math 15% / reading 36%, grade F, #97 of 225 statewide, top 46%, 666 students, 39% FRL); St. Charles High School (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #148 of 222 statewide, top 67%, 1,569 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 28% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 359 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 42d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 58% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,542 units permitted in Charles County in 2024 (516 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charles County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.7% in Waldorf — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JP796E38H4WQ1D
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29