3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,379 sqft ·
Built 1864
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,201/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$78
Tax + insurance
−$25
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$846/mo
Annual
$10,152/yr
Cap rate
74.43%
Cash-on-cash
243.34%
DSCR
11.83
1% rule
8.06%
Cash to close
$4,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($103 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#440 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Little Falls City School District (rural): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #492 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1864 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (85%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $12k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 74.4% vs local median 8.0% in Little Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1864 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JP8Q5SC5KM02W0
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29