8 Marco Ter · Little Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$14,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this Charming 3 bedroom, 1 bath home located in Little Falls. Sitting atop the peaceful Marco Terrace, this home has spacious rooms and a large yard which creates privacy while still remaining in the city. This property has much potential with just a bit of TLC! Off street parking is provided in the winter and a safe turnaround is located atop the hill. Purchase a property for a great price and give it your own charm and charter!
Key facts
- 6,020 sq ft lot
- Built 1864
- Listed 4 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Cap rate 74.4% vs local median 8.0% in Little Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#440 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Little Falls City School District (rural): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #492 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($103 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $85k (85%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1864 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1864 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 74.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 243.34%
- DSCR
- 11.83
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,827
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Woodside Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+2%) | 8mo | $176,500 | $126 | 80 |
| 222 Church St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,426 (+3%) | 8mo | $148,000 | $104 | 79 |
| 118 Prospect St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,310 (-5%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $116 | 76 |
| 24 King St | 0.22mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,432 (+4%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $10 | 73 |
| 34 Arthur St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (-7%) | 13mo | $159,000 | $123 | 73 |
| 172 Furnace St | 0.03mi | 3/0.5 | 1,222 (-11%) | 6mo | $14,000 | $11 | 73 |
| 87 Prospect St | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+2%) | 13mo | $100,000 | $71 | 68 |
| 240 Church St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-11%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $126 | 66 |
| 12 Woodside Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+3%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $113 | 66 |
| 26 Top Notch Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-2%) | 20mo | $192,000 | $143 | 52 |
| 312 W Monroe St | 0.41mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,467 (+6%) | 16mo | $96,000 | $65 | 50 |
| 22 High St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (+10%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $76 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.86×
- Total profit
- $62,016
- Equity at exit
- $13,423
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 34.63×
- Total profit
- $140,290
- Equity at exit
- $28,947
Cash invested: $4,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13365
- Home prices YoY
- 9.9%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,201 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$78
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$19 /mo · $224/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $846
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,725
- Closing costs
- $447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $14,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $14,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $14,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricestatusdays on market $14,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-03-06status Pending
-
2026-03-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-03price $10,000
-
2025-12-12status Active
-
2025-08-15historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-06-02price $29,900
-
2025-03-28$99,900 Active
-
2018-10-30historical
-
2017-10-03$44,900
-
2002-10-09soldstatus $12,000
-
1994-10-26soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,415
- − Mortgage interest
- −$835
- − Property taxes
- −$224
- − Insurance
- −$74
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,153
- − Management
- −$1,153
- − Depreciation
- −$433
- Taxable income
- $10,543
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,530
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,622/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Falls City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3617460
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,445
- Composite
- 36.22/100
- National rank
- #4724
- State rank
- #492 of 590 in NY
Livability — Little Falls
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #440
- US rank
- #7681
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Falls, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,545
Population outlook (Herkimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,340 people
- By 2030
- 56,838 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 51,098 · -13.9%
- By 2050
- 45,080 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 32,648 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 22,266 · -62.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Herkimer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.8% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -36.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.4 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+9.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 27.04%
- Current HPI
- 300.9696
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-73.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-03-06 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $10,000 CNYIS
- 2025-12-12 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2025-08-15 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-06-02 Price Changed $29,900 CNYIS
- 2025-03-28 Listed $99,900 CNYIS
- 2018-10-30 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2017-10-03 Listed $44,900 CNYIS
- 2002-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 1994-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,507 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…