3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,773 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Townhouse
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,730/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,783
Tax + insurance
−$473
HOA
−$13
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$573
Net cashflow
$-113/mo
Annual
$-1,351/yr
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.42%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$95,186
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $320k (5.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $273k (19.7% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $273k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#2 in KS, #276 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
De Soto (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #3 of 169 in KS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Horizon Elementary (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #31 of 684 statewide, top 6%, 372 students, 13% FRL); Mill Valley High School (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #19 of 327 statewide, top 6%, 1,355 students, 7% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.2% in Shawnee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JPBCNP853WKF7W
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29