3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,405 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,849/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$419
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$598
Net cashflow
$784/mo
Annual
$9,402/yr
Cap rate
10.99%
Cash-on-cash
16.79%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $784 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#37 in FL, #722 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Ocean Breeze Elementary School (math 73% / reading 77%, grade A, #218 of 2,144 statewide, top 11%, 554 students, 25% FRL); Herbert C. Hoover Middle School (math 67% / reading 64%, grade A-, #95 of 571 statewide, top 17%, 506 students, 38% FRL); Satellite Senior High School (math 65% / reading 71%, grade B, #66 of 667 statewide, top 10%, 1,517 students, 20% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 55% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Brevard average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $118k; list at $200k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JQ0NAM90NBJCXM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29