4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,816 sqft ·
Built 1929
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,052/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,516
Tax + insurance
−$482
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$641
Net cashflow
$414/mo
Annual
$4,966/yr
Cap rate
8.01%
Cash-on-cash
6.14%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$80,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $289k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $289k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#19 in MT, #2,473 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Great Falls H S (urban): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #79 of 116 in MT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Longfellow School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #274 of 293 statewide, top 93%, 313 students, 0% FRL); East Middle School (math 30% / reading 45%, grade F, #76 of 146 statewide, top 52%, 788 students, 0% FRL); Great Falls High School (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #75 of 132 statewide, top 57%, 1,641 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 223 units permitted in Cascade County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cascade County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.5% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,052/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JQ66TNA3PQGRR5
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29