3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,006/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$353
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$631
Net cashflow
$318/mo
Annual
$3,816/yr
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.20%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$90,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $301k (7.5% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $301k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#127 in MI, #3,163 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Avondale School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #162 of 540 in MI (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Deerfield Elementary School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #382 of 1,397 statewide, top 30%, 330 students, 41% FRL); Avondale Middle School (math 30% / reading 43%, grade F, #264 of 493 statewide, top 54%, 630 students, 58% FRL); Avondale High School (math 37% / reading 67%, grade D+, #128 of 713 statewide, top 19%, 1,004 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 28% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.8% in Rochester Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JRB3D40087TSE9
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29