2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
968 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 184 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,605/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$254
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$934/mo
Annual
$11,202/yr
Cap rate
29.44%
Cash-on-cash
82.67%
DSCR
4.68
1% rule
3.32%
Cash to close
$13,550
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $6k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $934 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $6k).
It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($5k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $5k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $335 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#836 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 12.1% of price.
Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (60%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 29.4% vs local median 5.8% in Lakeview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29