🏗️ New Construction
234 E Harrison St Unit S8 · Lakeview, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$6,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Lake life awaits in South Shore Estates. This 1968 Holly Park mobile home is currently under construction and offers a rare opportunity for a hands-on owner or investor. The interior is not finished, providing a blank slate to design and complete to your preferences. It is currently set up as a 2/1 but could be expanded to a third bedroom. Rough plumbing and partial rough electric is completed. On site building materials will convey. The home is conveniently located near Lakeview Harbor and the public boat ramp, the walking trail, La Playa Mexican Restaurant, Downtown Discount Grocery, and many other local amenities.
Key facts
- Blank slate
- Near lakeview harbor
- Rough plumbing
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $6k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $934 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $6k).
- Recommended offer: $5k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.4% vs local median 5.8% in Lakeview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#836 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian Lake Local (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #261 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $335 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($5k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (60%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 12.1% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 82.67%
- DSCR
- 4.68
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,393
- List price
- $6,000
- Delta
- -87.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234 E Harrison St Unit S8 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (0%) | 0mo | $4,000 | $4 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 83.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.81×
- Total profit
- $51,639
- Equity at exit
- $7,216
- IRR
- 86.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.98×
- Total profit
- $121,624
- Equity at exit
- $4,184
Cash invested: $13,550 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43331
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 0.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,605 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$254
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$60 /mo · $726/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $934
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,098
- Closing costs
- $1,452
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8926 Franklin Ave Unit B Lakeview, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,605 | $2.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8926 Franklin Ave Lakeview, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,605 | $2.31 | 1d | 1 | 0.53mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $6,000 Pending 184 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $6,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $6,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $6,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-04-03status Active 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Lake life awaits in South Shore Estates. This 1968 Holly Park mobile home is currently under construction and offers a rare opportunity for a hands-on owner or investor. The interior is not finished, providing a blank slate to design and complete to your preferences. It is currently set up as a 2/1 but could be expanded to a third bedroom. Rough plumbing and partial rough electric is completed. On site building materials will convey. The home is conveniently located near Lakeview Harbor and the public boat ramp, the walking trail, La Playa Mexican Restaurant, Downtown Discount Grocery, and many other local amenities.
-
2026-04-03price $6,000 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Lake life awaits in South Shore Estates. This 1968 Holly Park mobile home is currently under construction and offers a rare opportunity for a hands-on owner or investor. The interior is not finished, providing a blank slate to design and complete to your preferences. It is currently set up as a 2/1 but could be expanded to a third bedroom. Rough plumbing and partial rough electric is completed. On site building materials will convey. The home is conveniently located near Lakeview Harbor and the public boat ramp, the walking trail, La Playa Mexican Restaurant, Downtown Discount Grocery, and many other local amenities.
-
2026-03-31historical 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Lake life awaits in South Shore Estates. This 1968 Holly Park mobile home is currently under construction and offers a rare opportunity for a hands-on owner or investor. The interior is not finished, providing a blank slate to design and complete to your preferences. It is currently set up as a 2/1 but could be expanded to a third bedroom. Rough plumbing and partial rough electric is completed. On site building materials will convey. The home is conveniently located near Lakeview Harbor and the public boat ramp, the walking trail, La Playa Mexican Restaurant, Downtown Discount Grocery, and many other local amenities.
-
2026-01-15price $9,000 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Lake life awaits in South Shore Estates. This 1968 Holly Park mobile home is currently under construction and offers a rare opportunity for a hands-on owner or investor. The interior is not finished, providing a blank slate to design and complete to your preferences. It is currently set up as a 2/1 but could be expanded to a third bedroom. Rough plumbing and partial rough electric is completed. On site building materials will convey. The home is conveniently located near Lakeview Harbor and the public boat ramp, the walking trail, La Playa Mexican Restaurant, Downtown Discount Grocery, and many other local amenities.
-
2025-11-28$15,000 Active 624-char remark
Show marketing remark (624 chars)
Lake life awaits in South Shore Estates. This 1968 Holly Park mobile home is currently under construction and offers a rare opportunity for a hands-on owner or investor. The interior is not finished, providing a blank slate to design and complete to your preferences. It is currently set up as a 2/1 but could be expanded to a third bedroom. Rough plumbing and partial rough electric is completed. On site building materials will convey. The home is conveniently located near Lakeview Harbor and the public boat ramp, the walking trail, La Playa Mexican Restaurant, Downtown Discount Grocery, and many other local amenities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,711
- − Property taxes
- −$726
- − Insurance
- −$242
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,541
- − Management
- −$1,541
- − Depreciation
- −$1,408
- Taxable income
- $11,092
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,662
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian Lake Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904808
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,496
- Composite
- 52.6/100
- National rank
- #1559
- State rank
- #261 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lakeview
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #836
- US rank
- #15632
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakeview, OH
- County
- Logan · 47,256 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,012
- Household income
- $60,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16.1
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,240 people
- By 2030
- 43,166 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 40,495 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 37,511 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 30,453 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 23,081 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.75%
- Current HPI
- 256.2406
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-60.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — WRIST
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $6,000 WRIST
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $9,000 WRIST
- 2025-11-28 Listed $15,000 WRIST
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…