3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,454 sqft ·
Built 2014
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,792/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$226
HOA
−$38
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$376
Net cashflow
$-159/mo
Annual
$-1,910/yr
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.73%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (11.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (28.3% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $179k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#304 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Monroe-Gregg School District (rural): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #143 of 301 in IN (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Monrovia Elementary School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #417 of 994 statewide, top 43%, 702 students, 47% FRL); Monrovia Middle School (math 24% / reading 42%, grade F, #180 of 330 statewide, top 56%, 328 students, 47% FRL); Monrovia High School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade F, #169 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 528 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 330 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.4% in Monrovia — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JS2YQE6SPZKT6B
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29