None bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 2001
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,541/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$466
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$534
Net cashflow
$73/mo
Annual
$877/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.12%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$78,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $280k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($877/yr) — positive. Per door: $37/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (9.2% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $254k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#440 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Marvin B Smith Elementary (math 44% / reading 56%, grade D+, #409 of 1,410 statewide, top 29%, 481 students, 52% FRL); Turrentine Middle (math 21% / reading 37%, grade F, #350 of 475 statewide, top 74%, 929 students, 68% FRL); Walter M Williams High (math 52% / reading 59%, grade C, #265 of 535 statewide, top 50%, 1,343 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 275 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 20% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.7% in Glen Raven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,541/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 1040% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and discoloration suggest significant damage and potential leaks.
Major: siding
— The siding is visibly worn and may need repainting or replacement.
Major: flooring
— The exterior flooring is in poor condition and may need repair or replacement.
Major: interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint are in poor condition and may need repainting.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— The HVAC units appear old and may need replacement or repair.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and requires trimming and maintenance to improve curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JSV8003V96ZNW8
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29