2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,911/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,626
Tax + insurance
−$718
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$-835/mo
Annual
$-10,015/yr
Cap rate
3.06%
Cash-on-cash
-11.54%
DSCR
0.49
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$86,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-835 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (47.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (38.4% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $163k (47.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IL, #85 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+.
Grayslake Chsd 127 (suburban): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #95 of 620 in IL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Grayslake Central High School (math 43% / reading 46%, grade F, #62 of 693 statewide, top 10%, 1,419 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $310k implies a 377% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JSXWG52Z9A0HHZ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29