3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,472 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,374/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,447
Tax + insurance
−$364
HOA
−$52
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$498
Net cashflow
$12/mo
Annual
$141/yr
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.18%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$77,280
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $276k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($141/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (14.0% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $237k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#240 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Calvert County Public Schools (rural): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #5 of 24 in MD (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Patuxent Appeal Elementary Campus (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #535 of 860 statewide, top 62%, 712 students, 55% FRL); Mill Creek Middle (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #108 of 225 statewide, top 50%, 446 students, 42% FRL); Patuxent High (math 52% / reading 81%, grade B, #53 of 222 statewide, top 24%, 1,029 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 19% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 101 units permitted in Calvert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 79% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.7% in Chesapeake Ranch Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JTHX2SAWVDKH0D
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29