6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,937 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 176 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,704/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$775
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,198
Net cashflow
$1,240/mo
Annual
$14,878/yr
Cap rate
9.43%
Cash-on-cash
11.19%
DSCR
1.50
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 2×1bd/1.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $475k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $413/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $475k).
It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $418k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#128 in NY, #2,042 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, housing D+, employment D-.
New Paltz Central School District (suburban): math 67% / reading 88% proficiency, ranked #70 of 590 in NY (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Duzine School (317 students, 27% FRL); New Paltz Middle School (math 24% / reading 74%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 421 students, 28% FRL); New Paltz Senior High School (math 97% / reading 100%, grade A+, #10 of 1,100 statewide, top 1%, 668 students, 27% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $290k; list at $475k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 1.8% in New Paltz — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-JW564E486KB9QV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29