236 State Route 32 S · New Paltz, NY 12561

$475,000

6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,937 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 176 Days on market

Built 1900 1.06 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.4/30.0
• DSCR +9.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Schools +6.7/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Excellent Investment Opportunity - Fully Occupied 3-Family with Expansion Potential This income-generating 3-family property is fully occupied and currently bringing in 4,350 per month, with tenants responsible for all utilities. The building features two 1-bedroom units and one 2-bedroom unit, with an unfinished 4th unit that offers excellent potential for added value. The entire floor is included in the tax-recorded square footage and can be reconverted into a legal unit with the proper permits—unlocking even more income potential. Highlights include a durable metal roof, ample off-street parking with space for more vehicles than needed, and a solid rental history. While the exterio

Key facts

• Durable metal roof
• Unfinished unit
• Off street parking

Tags

• INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
• INCOME GENERATING
• UNFINISHED UNIT
• DURABLE METAL ROOF
• OFF STREET PARKING
• SOLID RENTAL HISTORY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2×1bd/1.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $475k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $413/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $475k).
• Recommended offer: $418k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 1.8% in New Paltz — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 79/100 on livability (#128 in NY, #2,042 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, housing D+, employment D-.
• New Paltz Central School District (suburban): math 67% / reading 88% proficiency, ranked #70 of 590 in NY (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Duzine School (317 students, 27% FRL); New Paltz Middle School (math 24% / reading 74%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 421 students, 28% FRL); New Paltz Senior High School (math 97% / reading 100%, grade A+, #10 of 1,100 statewide, top 1%, 668 students, 27% FRL).
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $290k; list at $475k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $418,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.43%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.19%
• DSCR: 1.50
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 0.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.02×
• Total profit: $2,071
• Equity at exit: $70,824

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.78×
• Total profit: $103,793
• Equity at exit: $41,069

Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 12561

• Active inventory: 92
• Price-to-rent: 21.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,704 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,491
• Tax from tax record: −$577 /mo · $6,930/yr
• Insurance: −$198
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,198
• Net cashflow: $1,240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,135

Max offer price $475,000

Occupancy floor 73%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	1	1	$3,718
1× unit	2	1	$1,985
Total (3 units)			$5,704

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $118,750
• Closing costs: $14,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2025-10-15
   status Pending
2. 2025-10-15
   status Pending
3. 2025-06-09
   historical Active Under Contract
4. 2025-04-22
   listed $475,000 Active
5. 2025-04-21
   listed $475,000 Active
6. 2022-12-02
   soldstatus $290,000
7. 1983-11-03
   soldstatus $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $6,930 · $577/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $7,479 · $623/mo
• Expected delta: +$549/yr (+$46/mo · 7.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $68,448
• − Mortgage interest: −$26,607
• − Property taxes: −$6,930
• − Insurance: −$2,375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,476
• − Management: −$5,476
• − Depreciation: −$13,818
• Taxable income: $7,766
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,864
• After-tax cash flow: $13,014/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: New Paltz Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3620460
• Math proficiency: 67% ▲ 5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 88% ▲ 28.00%
• Median HH income: $68,223
• Composite: 67.25/100
• National rank: #386
• State rank: #70 of 590 in NY

Livability — New Paltz

• Score: 79/100
• State rank: #128
• US rank: #2042

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C- Employment D- Housing D+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 18,531

Population outlook (Ulster County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 175,887 people
• By 2030: 171,876 · -2.3%
• By 2040: 161,771 · -8.0%
• By 2050: 151,470 · -13.9%
• By 2075: 133,023 · -24.4%
• By 2100: 113,504 · -35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (73%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ulster

• 2024 margin: D (+18.7) · D 59.3% · R 40.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: 18.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+18.7 2020: D+20.9 2016: D+9.1 2012: D+21.9 2008: D+23.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -203.50%
• Current HPI: 331.5122
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+295.8% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-15 Pending — HVCRMLS
• 2025-10-15 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-09 Contingent — HVCRMLS
• 2025-04-22 Listed $475,000 HVCRMLS
• 2025-04-21 Listed $475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $290,000 Public Records
• 1983-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,930 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.